An assessment of current approaches to including individual plant dynamics in ESMs and the need for new types of observations to benchmark these models
We reviewed the state of the science for models that have attempted to include the dynamics of individual plants, including their growth and death, within coupled Earth system models (ESMs). We review approaches to resolve environmental heterogeneity along key gradients of light, water, and nutrients, how differences in plant states determine the dynamics of competition fro resources, and issues of scaling from groups to individuals.
We argue for the need for specific observations, including forest inventory data, rates of individual-level resource acquisition and use, and the observations that link individual-level growth and mortality rates to environmental conditions as key benchmarks to improve and test the next generation of ESMs.
The problem of including processes such as growth and mortality of individual trees is needed if we are to have a robust estimate of ecosystem responses and contributions to global change. ESMs have traditionally not included individual-level dynamics, instead using bulk ecosystem level properties. However, the limitations of this approach have become clearer and so multiple ESM groups are including plant demographic processes within them. We review multiple approaches across a wide range of ESMs, to discuss commonalities and differences between these approaches. In particular, we describe differing attempts to represent size- and trait-structured competition for within the canopy, water and nutrients underground, and the role of disturbance and mortality processes in governing ecosystem heterogeneity. We describe a set of requirements for testing and benchmarking the models, with a focus on the need to test the competition among individuals for resources, and the need for observations that test scaling between individual-level vital rates and environmental conditions.
Contacts (BER PM)
[email protected] (301-903-0289)
[email protected] (301-903-0105)
[email protected] (301-903-9237)
National Center For Atmospheric Research
[email protected] (303.497.1706)
Lawrence Berkeley National Lab
[email protected] (510.486.6724)
CDK, BC, RK, JH, TP, JS, CX & SPS were supported by the Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments (NGEE-Tropics) project that is supported by the Office of Biological and Environmental Research in the Department of Energy, Office of Science
Fisher, R. A., Koven, C. D., Anderegg, W. R. L., Christoffersen, B. O., Dietze, M. C., Farrior, C., Holm, J. A., Hurtt, G., Knox, R. G., Lawrence, P. J., Lichststein, J. W., Longo, M., Matheny, A. M., Medvigy, D., Muller-Landau, H. C., Powell, T. L., Serbin, S. P., Sato, H., Shuman, J., Smith, B., Trugman, A. T., Viskari, T., Verbeeck, H., Weng, E., Xu, C., Xu, X., Zhang, T. and Moorcroft, P., “Vegetation Demographics in Earth System Models: a review of progress and priorities”. Global Change Biology, 24(1), 35–54, DOI:10.1111/gcb.13910.